Nnamdi Ebo | NewsBlog

In my NewsBlog Nnamdi Ebo, I provide perspectives on news, events and analysis of unique stories, and I also offer original content, articles and photos; with contributions from some of the best minds.

Nnamdi Ebo | NewsBlog

In my NewsBlog Nnamdi Ebo, I provide perspectives on news, events and analysis of unique stories, and I also offer original content, articles and photos; with contributions from some of the best minds.

Nnamdi Ebo | NewsBlog

In my NewsBlog Nnamdi Ebo, I provide perspectives on news, events and analysis of unique stories, and I also offer original content, articles and photos; with contributions from some of the best minds.

Nnamdi Ebo | NewsBlog

In my NewsBlog Nnamdi Ebo, I provide perspectives on news, events and analysis of unique stories, and I also offer original content, articles and photos; with contributions from some of the best minds.

Nnamdi Ebo | NewsBlog

In my NewsBlog Nnamdi Ebo, I provide perspectives on news, events and analysis of unique stories, and I also offer original content, articles and photos; with contributions from some of the best minds.

 

“Change” Mantra Postponed Apocalypse in Nigeria

Nigeria is still living on borrowed times . . .

“Apocalypse Now” is a 1979 American epic adventure war film set during the Vietnam War, produced and directed by Francis Ford Coppola, starring Marlon Brando, Martin Sheen and Robert Duvall. The first Known use of the word ‘Apocalypse’ was in the 13th century. The synonyms were disaster, calamity, cataclysm, catastrophe, debacle and tragedy. The biblical Apocalypse is any of a number of prophetic or symbolic visions, especially of the imminent destruction of the world – the end of the world or the collapse of civilization, a prophetic disclosure; a revelation. The biblical Apocalypse has taken a more secular meaning, denoting violence, a sudden and very bad event that causes much fear, loss or destruction.

In 2006, the CIA gave a damning verdict on Nigeria: “While currently, Nigeria’s leaders are locked in a bad marriage that all dislike but dare not leave, there are possibilities that could disrupt the precarious equilibrium in Abuja. . .If Nigeria were to become a failed state, it could drag down a large part of the West African region.” The CIA however added a caveat: “States with high levels of violence will not automatically be failed states; indeed, the ability of African countries to continue to muddle along, despite high levels of violence, should not be underestimated. For instance, 20,000 people have been killed in Nigeria while that country has maintained its democratic façade.”

Jonathan . Violence erupted in the northern state of Gombe ahead of an election rally by President Jonathan. Reuters

Photo: Violence erupted in the northern state of Gombe in Nigeria – ahead of an election rally by President Goodluck Jonathan | March 2015 | Reuters.

It is scary to note that façade means a showy misrepresentation intended to conceal something unpleasant – window dressing of sorts. One of Nigeria’s foremost politicians, Chief Obafemi Awolowo had, in 1947, referred to Nigeria as “a mere geographical expression.” A colonial not-so-secret document, the “Tinubu Square Edict” or Accord of 1914, which was  reportedly signed into law at the amalgamation of Nigeria in 1914 and similar to the  British/China accord of Hong Kong, showed that the Nigerian experiment was meant to last for an initial 100 years (that is, till 2014), following which it should be reviewed.

The British/China accord of Hong Kong has been reviewed several times including Hong Kong’s previous capitalist system and its way of life which would remain unchanged for a period of 50 years until 2047. Nigeria’s political elite from all the geopolitical zones (irrespective of political/religious leaning) may need to sit down and review the so-called “Tinubu Square Edict”. The Constitutional Conference held in 2014 was not designed to review Nigeria’s corporate existence but a coming together of mostly political soul mates – a poor attempt at pseudo-political chicanery.

The PDP was more interested in perpetuating itself in power for 60 years – meanwhile, tribalism, nepotism, religious extremism, corruption, impunity, infrastructural decay, super-inflation, militarism, divisiveness, economic degradation, political malfeasance and insurgency reigned supreme, but Nigeria maintained its democratic façade and continued to muddle along. For how long shall this country postpone the Apocalypse? Whether any Nigerian likes it or not, the 2013 Nigerian Governors Forum (NGF) crisis paved the way for the end of the 16-year rule of the PDP. That was the genesis of postponement of the Apocalypse in Nigeria.

Truth be told, if the PDP had won the Nigerian Presidency, the much-vaunted bloody 1967-1970 Nigeria-Biafra war would have paled in significance to the Apocalypse Now postponed. The internal crisis within the PDP which reached its zenith may have saved Nigeria from fulfilling the 2006 CIA ‘damning verdict’. The NGF crisis erupted from an internal election organised by the 36 governors. Rivers state Governor Rotimi Amaechi garnered 19 votes while his Plateau State counterpart, Jonah Jang, had 16 votes. The APC deftly capitalized on the mathematical error where 16 became greater than 19. The crisis provided the spark that led to a ‘change mantra’ which defeated the PDP by the APC. President Goodluck Jonathan provided the final temporary panacea when he graciously conceding defeat to Gen. Muhammadu Buhari, which ultimately postponed Apocalypse Now.

APC . 'APC CHANGE' Mantra. Poster

Most Nigerians wanted a change but will the change destined to metamorphose on May 29 review the Tinubu Square Edict? I don’t think so. President-elect Gen. Muhammadu Buhari is tritely known for incorruptibility, probity and discipline. All those may not be enough to stem the impending Apocalypse in Nigeria – as many of the founding fathers of the soon-to-be “governing party” were erstwhile members of the dysfunctional PDP which maintained Nigeria’s democratic façade and continued to muddle along for 16 years – even as the country is still divided along ethnic and religious lines. Nigeria is still living on borrowed times. It is truism that the ‘change mantra’ postponed Apocalypse Now.

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Nnamdi Ebo 2By: Nnamdi Ebo
The White Paper |
Political scientist | Author | Social commentator | THISDAY Contributor | Scholar in Legal literature & Politics | Online Newspaper Publisher | Blogger | NR Columnist

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